Estimation

How long will this take? How much will it cost? What could go wrong? The psychology of estimation is one of the most reliable sources of expensive mistakes.

2 prompts in this category

Prompts

Estimate how long a project will take

Use when: You need to estimate the time, effort, or cost of a project before committing to a deadline.

You'll get: A realistic time estimate with an optimistic / most likely / pessimistic range drawn from comparable projects, plus a recommendation for what number to commit to externally.

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Estimate how likely something is to go wrong

Use when: You need to assess how likely a risk or failure mode is before deciding how much weight to give it.

You'll get: A calibrated assessment of the actual likelihood, separated from how vivid or recent it feels, plus a prioritised list of what actually deserves attention.

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